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Anticipating The Impact of European Data on The EURAUD
Summary:
The Australian dollar's surge on upbeat Reserve Bank news, alongside potential euro weakness due to upcoming European data. Technical analysis points to a bearish trend for the EURAUD pair, highlighting a likely downward movement towards key support levels.
CLOSED
1.65269
ENTRY
1.64446
TGT
1.65855
SL
1.75534 +0.00097 +0.06%
823
Points
Profit
1.64446
TGT
1.64432
CLOSING
1.65269
ENTRY
1.65855
SL
Fundamental Analysis
The Australian dollar (AUD) made significant gains in today's currency market trading, emerging as the top performer with an impressive 1.59% increase. This surge was largely attributed to the optimistic sentiments surrounding the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) recent meeting results. The RBA's statements included several positive indicators, instilling confidence in the likelihood of sustained high Australian interest rates over an extended period.
A key takeaway from the RBA meeting was the consensus among its monetary policy committee members regarding the uncertainty surrounding future changes in the cash interest rate. The committee acknowledged the complexity of forecasting rate adjustments and indicated that it would take considerable time before the RBA could confidently anticipate a return of inflation to its target range. Such affirmations bolstered the AUD against other major currencies, reflecting investor optimism in the Australian economic outlook.
Conversely, attention now shifts to Europe, where tomorrow's release of unemployment rates and Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data is anticipated. Expectations suggest that these figures may remain unchanged from previous results, potentially exerting downward pressure on the euro (EUR) as a currency.
Euro Zone Unemployment Rate (Feb)
Euro Zone HCPI Prelim YoY (Mar)
Technical Analysis
examining the 4-hour chart reveals critical insights. Currently trading at 1.65386, the EURAUD pair encounters a robust supply zone, previously acting as a formidable demand zone. Analysts project a significant downward movement towards the preceding demand area of around 1.64400, indicative of a developing downtrend formation characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This bearish outlook is reinforced by the 20-period moving average, which signals a downward trajectory.
EURAUD Price Chart
Trading Recommendation
Trading Direction: Short
Entry Price: Now
Target Price: 1.64446
Stop Loss: 1.65855
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BeingTrader Trading Coach & Speaker, 10+ years of experience in the forex industry being an intraday and day trader. My major trading strategies are based on technical analysis, and I mainly use trends, support/resistance, moving averages, and market entry and exit point strategy, risk management and trading plan.
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