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Gold Poised for Support Bounce Near $5,000
Summary:
XAU/USD is trading in a range around $5,000 after a pullback from weekly highs and mixed price action as traders brace for major U.S. CPI data and macro catalysts.
CLOSED
4980.74
ENTRY
5150.00
TGT
4920.00
SL
5012.82 -29.63 -0.59%
6171
Points
Profit
4920.00
SL
5042.45
CLOSING
4980.74
ENTRY
5150.00
TGT
Market Overview
Gold’s price has been trading around $5,000–$5,100, broadly consolidating after recent volatility and sharp moves driven by macro data and sentiment shifts. Following a significant pullback from earlier highs, spot XAU/USD remains supported above the psychological $5,000 level, reflecting underlying demand and safe-haven interest even as the U.S. dollar finds strength around key economic releases. Forecasts for the week suggest gold’s broader trend remains intact, with the price likely to stay in this consolidation band in the short term while awaiting fresh catalysts, particularly U.S. inflation and jobs data that could reset Fed rate cut expectations.
Market Sentiment
Sentiment in the short term is cautious but slightly bullish on dips. Gold remains “moderately bid” with bulls defending the $5,000 handle, indicating that buying pressure is still present near key support levels as the metal oscillates within its weekly range. Traders are watching macroeconomic events like CPI and labor figures for cues on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s trajectory. Continued safe-haven positioning and subdued short-term momentum suggest buyers could step in if prices dip toward support zones, making pullbacks attractive for tactical buys rather than chasing breakouts.
Technical Analysis
On the M15 timeframe, gold shows consolidation around $4,950–$5,050, with key support near the lower boundary around ~$4,940–$4,980 and resistance around ~$5,100–$5,150. Short-term technical signals show that gold’s corrective structure may be stabilizing after recent volatility, as oscillators and moving averages consolidate near zone support, creating potential for a rebound toward resistance if buyers hold key levels. Bulls remain in play as long as support around ~$4,940–$4,980 stays intact and price sustains above the psychological $5,000 handle.
Trade Recommendation
Entry: 4980
Take Profit: 5050
Stop Loss: 4920
BUY XAU at current support cluster, expecting a rebound toward near-term resistance as buyers re-affirm demand around critical support. If price breaks below 4920 with strong momentum, the near-term bullish setup would weaken and require re-assessment.
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PROFIT +6144 Points
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