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Gold Regains Footing After Sharp Pullback as Markets Weigh Trump’s Softer China Tone
Summary:
Gold prices edged higher on Monday, stabilizing after Friday’s sharp decline from record highs, as investors weighed softer remarks from US President Donald Trump on China against lingering macroeconomic uncertainty and dovish central bank expectations.
Trading
4320.74
ENTRY
4400.00
TGT
4265.00
SL
-- -- --
0
Point
Flat
4265.00
SL
CLOSING
4320.74
ENTRY
4400.00
TGT
Gold (XAU/USD) rose modestly on Monday, recouping some of the sharp losses sustained late last week as investors returned to the safe-haven metal amid lingering caution over global trade and policy uncertainty. The yellow metal was last seen trading near $4,280 per ounce during the European session, up about 0.5% on the day, recovering from Friday’s steep slide that briefly pushed it to a one-week low.
Friday’s move marked gold’s largest single-day drop since mid-May, with prices tumbling 1.76% from record levels near $4,380. The decline came after comments from US President Donald Trump, who signaled a surprisingly softer stance toward China. Trump stated that the United States is “going to do fine with China” and acknowledged that the proposed 100% tariffs on Chinese imports “aren’t sustainable.” The remarks helped temper fears of a full-blown trade escalation, leading to a brief rebound in the US Dollar and Treasury yields—a combination that triggered a wave of profit-taking in gold.
While the easing of trade tensions offered temporary relief to global risk sentiment, markets remain on edge. Trump’s unpredictable trade rhetoric has become a key driver of market volatility, leaving investors wary of overcommitting to directional positions in gold. The market’s muted response on Monday suggests that Friday’s correction may have been more of a technical pullback than the start of a broader reversal, as investors digest the evolving macro landscape.
Despite the latest fluctuations, the fundamental backdrop for gold remains broadly supportive. A dovish Federal Reserve continues to underpin demand for non-yielding assets, with policymakers signaling that rate cuts remain on the table should inflation slow or growth weaken. Meanwhile, the ongoing US government shutdown, now extending into another week, has added to economic uncertainty and weighed on investor confidence.
Moreover, persistent geopolitical tensions, from Middle East instability to the fragile state of global supply chains, have kept safe-haven demand elevated. Central banks—particularly in emerging markets—continue to diversify reserves into gold, while ETF inflows remain robust, reflecting resilient institutional appetite for the metal even at elevated levels.
“The absence of follow-through selling after Friday’s plunge tells us that the market still sees dips in gold as buying opportunities,” said a London-based commodity strategist. “As long as real yields remain low and geopolitical uncertainty stays elevated, the broader uptrend in gold is intact.”
Techncial Analysis
From a technical perspective, the metal’s short-term structure suggests stabilization above the $4,250–$4,260 region could pave the way for renewed upside momentum. Gold’s daily chart shows that prices have bounced from oversold conditions, with positive divergence emerging on key momentum indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This technical setup implies that the recent decline may have exhausted short-term selling pressure.
We are now eyeing a potential retest of the breakout zone near $4,300, with sustained strength above that level likely to open the path toward the next major target at $4,440 or higher. On the downside, a decisive break below $4,230 could expose gold to a deeper pullback toward $4,150, though such a move appears unlikely unless the dollar extends its rebound significantly.
TRADE RECOMMENDATION
BUY GOLD
ENTRY PRICE: 4320
STOP LOSS: 4265
TAKE PROFIT: 4400
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Warren Takunda, a seasoned finance leader specializing in the Middle East, is a trusted senior analyst with a proven track record. As head of the finance team, he excels in financial planning, analysis, and reporting. Warren's expertise in financial modeling and investment analysis delivers valuable insights to clients.
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