USDX
98.160

0.21%

XAUUSD
4267.71

1.42%

WTI
58.015

0.42%

EURUSD
1.16763

0.25%

GBPUSD
1.34312

0.22%

USDJPY
150.801

0.16%

USNDAQ100
24962.45

0.70%

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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks

Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.

HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation

Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.

HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry

The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.

HK Real Estate Industry

In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.

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      Political Instability Unleashed: Where Are the U.S. and Japan Headed?​

      EconomicForexTechnical Analysis
      Summary:

      Kazuo Ueda, Governor of the Bank of Japan (BOJ), stated that if the economy continues its moderate recovery, the central bank will proceed with further interest rate hikes to stabilize inflation near the 2% target.  

      Buy USDJPY
      EXP
      Trading

      151.360

      ENTRY

      158.800

      TGT

      148.000

      SL

      150.801 -0.246 -0.16%

      0

      Point

      Flat

      148.000

      SL

      CLOSING

      151.360

      ENTRY

      158.800

      TGT

      Fundamentals

      Kato Katsunobu, Japan's Finance Minister, recently emphasized the need for a new economic strategy tailored to the current era of inflation, in response to an economic environment that differs significantly from the past. He pointed out that the former 'Abenomics' framework—characterized by bold monetary easing, flexible fiscal policy, and structural reforms—successfully pulled Japan out of prolonged deflation. However, it also led to a substantial increase in government debt. Today, inflation has replaced deflation as the primary economic challenge, necessitating the establishment of a new policy framework aligned with current realities. Kato's remarks come as Sanae Takaichi, the newly elected leader of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), is widely expected to continue the reflationary policies of Abenomics. Following Takaichi's appointment, markets generally anticipate no immediate interest rate hikes in Japan, leading to a rally in stock prices and depreciation of the yen. Regarding the yen's movement, Kato stressed that the government will closely monitor foreign exchange markets to prevent excessive volatility and maintain exchange rates that reflect economic fundamentals.
      Meanwhile, the International Monetary Fund (IMF), in its latest World Economic Outlook, raised its growth forecast for Japan in 2025 and anticipates that the BOJ will gradually raise interest rates over the medium term. The IMF believes that a rebound in real wage growth will support private consumption, helping to offset the negative impacts of weak external demand and uncertainties surrounding U.S. trade policies. The report noted that Japan's economy grew steadily in the first half of 2024, driven by capital expenditure and automobile exports. However, new export orders have begun to decline, signaling that the adverse effects of potential U.S. tariff increases may widen. Although a bilateral trade agreement between Japan and the U.S. has temporarily eased trade frictions, its long-term impact remains to be seen. Governor Ueda reiterated that if the economy maintains a moderate recovery, the BOJ will continue hiking interest rates to keep inflation stable around the 2% target.
      U.S. Monetary Policy is under the microscope. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, ahead of the FOMC meeting, noted that while the U.S. economy remains strong, adjustments in tariff and immigration policies could introduce dual risks of inflation and unemployment. Due to the government shutdown, key employment data has been delayed, leaving the Fed facing a shortage of critical information. Markets are broadly expecting a 25-basis-point rate cut at the October meeting, with the possibility of one more cut before year-end.  Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested that the contradiction between economic growth and weak employment should be addressed through a gradual pace of rate cuts to balance growth and inflation risks. Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson argued that gains in productivity and investments in artificial intelligence are supporting economic expansion, and she sees room for two more rate cuts this year. 

      Technical Analysis

      As the daily chart shows, Bollinger Bands are expanding upwards with the moving averages diverging to the upside. However, after breaking above the uptrend line, the price has pulled back and is currently trading near the EMA12. The MACD forms a golden cross, with no signs of weakening momentum yet. The RSI stands at 58, entering a cautious zone, indicating market indecision. If the price holds firmly above 150, it could rise toward the previous high near 158.8. Failure to hold above 150 may lead to a drop toward the 148–149 range. Based on the 4H chart, Bollinger Bands are expanding downward, and the moving averages are diverging to the downside. The MACD line and the signal line return near the zero axis, suggesting an impending shift in market direction. The RSI is at 40, reflecting strong bearish sentiment. USD/JPY could hit 153.2 if it holds above the EMA50. Otherwise, it will return to the EMA200 (near 149.2). Thus, buying at lows is recommended as a short-term strategy.  
      Political Instability Unleashed: Where Are the U.S. and Japan Headed?​_1Political Instability Unleashed: Where Are the U.S. and Japan Headed?​_2

      Trading Recommendations:

      Trading direction: Buy
      Entry price: 151.36
      Target price: 158.8
      Stop loss: 148
      Support: 150/148.5/146.6
      Resistance: 155/156.7/158.8
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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      Tank

      Analysts

      20 years of trading experience, specializing in naked price action analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and Chan Theory. Has conducted in-depth research on forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. Achieved a tenfold profit during the 2005 bull market and doubled profits within one month of entering the crypto market in 2015. Adheres to the trading philosophy: "Trend is king; focus on the big picture, act on

      Rank

      4

      Articless

      239

      Win Rate

      56.26%

      P/L Ratio

      0.81

      Focus on

      XAUUSD, USDJPY

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