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      Saudi Arabia Shouted Bears, Crude Oil Rose Sharply

      Commodity
      Summary:

      After the macro sentiment, perhaps oil prices will gradually tilt toward the bulls.

      Buy WTI
      End Time
      CLOSED

      72.500

      ENTRY

      80.000

      TGT

      68.500

      SL

      60.585 +0.695 +1.16%

      546

      Points

      Profit

      68.500

      SL

      73.046

      CLOSING

      72.500

      ENTRY

      80.000

      TGT

      Fundamentals

      During the Asian session on Wednesday (May 24), WTI oil prices are oscillating in a narrow range to the upside and are currently trading around 74.3. As Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman said on Tuesday that he would make short traders pay and reminded them to be careful, WTI crude rose 2.3% to an intraday high of $73.98 a barrel, which is also a three-week high in May. Besides, WTI oil prices broke through the 73.9 strong resistance high this afternoon to 74.4 and are currently hovering there to test the 73.9 high support.
      Data: The preliminary Markit manufacturing PMI in the United States recorded a two-month low of 48.5 in May, compared with 50.2 in the previous month and the market expectaion of 50. However, the preliminary Markit services PMI in the United States recorded 55.1 in May, higher than market expectations of 52.6 and the previous 53.6. In short, the data is mixed, with the US economy still showing strong resilience.
      Inventories: API crude oil inventories reported on Tuesday were sharply reduced unexpectedly. In the week ended May 19, crude oil inventories fell by about 6.8 million barrels, gasoline inventories by about 6.4 million, and distillate inventories by about 1.8 million. Analysts had predicted that crude inventories were expected to rise by about 800,000 barrels last week, gasoline inventories by about 1.1 million barrels, and distillate inventories by about 400,000 barrels.
      Overall: Oil prices will eventually return to the supply and demand side after the macro disturbance. As it is currently in the peak consumption season of the summer and the global spot market has picked up in the past week. With the improvement of supply and demand, the global supply shortage is expected to gradually strengthen, and oil prices may rise in the future. In addition, OPEC+ may consider further production cuts at the June 4 meeting. Coupled with the sharp reduction in API crude oil and refined product inventories released today, the US Memorial Day holiday will kick off the summer travel season. Market optimism may heat up. In the near future, the oil market should still be mainly based on going long at lows. We will focus on whether the resistance of the 73.9 line can be successfully broken today.

      Technical Analysis

      In the daily chart, although prices are generally running in a descending channel, the MACD has already shown a golden cross signal. Oil prices have held above 70, trading above the 5-, 10- and 20-day EMAs and breaking above the upper edge of the box at 73.9. It suggests that the overall trend is expected to shift upward. Initial resistance above is around 76.5, further resistance is at 80.2, also refer to the 80 integer mark.  
      While initial support below is around the MA5 at 72.8, with further strong support around the week's low of 70.6. If this support is lost, further strong support is near the 70 integer mark. It is recommended that traders still focus on short-term pullbacks and lows. In the short-term, the upper focus on the resistance level of 76-76.5, and the bottom focus on the support level of 72-72.5.
      WTI: Saudi Arabia Shouted Bears, Crude Oil Rose Sharply _1

       Trading Recommendations

      Trading Direction: Long
      Entry Price: 72.500
      Target Price: 80.000
      Stop Loss: 68.500
      Support: 72.600/70.000
      Resistance: 76.500/80.000
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      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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      King Ten

      Analysts

      Focus on macroeconomic analysis with extra attention to the geopolitical impact on financial markets.

      Rank

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      Articless

      316

      Win Rate

      0.00%

      P/L Ratio

      0.34

      Focus on

      XAUUSD, WTI, COPPER

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