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      Breaks 4,200—Is the Next Target for Gold $5,000?​

      EconomicCommodityForexTechnical Analysis
      Summary:

      Traders go through the latest dovish remarks from Federal Reserve policymakers. Also, the decline in Asian stock markets and a pause in the dollar's upward momentum are providing support to gold prices. 

      Sell XAUUSD
      EXP
      Trading

      4200.00

      ENTRY

      4000.00

      TGT

      4300.00

      SL

      4269.27 +61.24 +1.46%

      0

      Point

      Flat

      4000.00

      TGT

      CLOSING

      4200.00

      ENTRY

      4300.00

      SL

      Fundamentals

      Amid trade tensions and expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts, traders have flocked to safe-haven assets, pushing gold prices slightly higher. Fed officials, including Stephen Miran, Christopher Waller, and Jeff Schmid, are scheduled to speak later on Wednesday. Trade tensions between the U.S. and China have reignited, triggering renewed demand for safe havens. On Tuesday, U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer stated that President Donald Trump may impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods as early as November 1st—or sooner—depending on Beijing's next move in the rare-earth dispute. The U.S. and China will begin imposing additional port fees on ocean carriers starting Tuesday, affecting a wide range of goods from holiday toys to crude oil, turning international waters into a key battleground in the trade war between the world's two largest economies. The U.S. plans to start charging these port fees on October 14th. 
      The rising expectation of a Fed rate cut is also supporting gold prices. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said that despite the government shutdown significantly lowering economic forecasts, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points at its late October policy meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the market currently sees an almost certain 25-basis-point rate cut at the October meeting, with another likely in December. Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, thereby supporting the precious metal. Gold traders will be closely watching the Fed's remarks later on Wednesday for clues about the future path of U.S. interest rates. Any unexpected hawkish comments from Fed officials could boost the dollar in the short term and weigh on dollar-denominated commodity prices. 

      Technical Analysis

      Based on the ​1-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are expanding upwards, with moving averages trending higher at the same time. The price is ascending within the EMA12, and a golden cross has formed on the MACD, although there are signs of weakening bullish momentum. The RSI stands at 69, indicating strong bullish sentiment. However, the recent highs are gradually lowering, suggesting that while the short-term trend remains upward, a pullback could occur at any time. As long as the price does not decisively break below the EMA12, it is highly likely to rise toward 4,230 and 4,250. Therefore, it is recommended to sell at highs and then buy at lows.
      Breaks 4,200—Is the Next Target for Gold $5,000?​_1Breaks 4,200—Is the Next Target for Gold $5,000?​_2

      Trading Recommendations:

      Trading direction: Sell
      Entry price: 4200
      Target price: 4000
      Stop loss: 4300
      Support: 4100/4000/3800
      Resistance: 4250/4300/4500
        
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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      Tank

      Analysts

      20 years of trading experience, specializing in naked price action analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and Chan Theory. Has conducted in-depth research on forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. Achieved a tenfold profit during the 2005 bull market and doubled profits within one month of entering the crypto market in 2015. Adheres to the trading philosophy: "Trend is king; focus on the big picture, act on

      Rank

      4

      Articless

      239

      Win Rate

      56.26%

      P/L Ratio

      0.81

      Focus on

      XAUUSD, USDJPY

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