USDX
98.980

0.20%

XAUUSD
4205.82

0.09%

WTI
59.466

1.14%

EURUSD
1.16428

0.23%

GBPUSD
1.33315

0.13%

USDJPY
155.060

0.10%

USNDAQ100
25571.68

0.26%

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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks

Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.

HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation

Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.

HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry

The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.

HK Real Estate Industry

In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.

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      Bullish Momentum Intact, Profit-Taking Risk Eyed

      Commodity
      Summary:

      Market expectations for Fed rate cuts remain a structural tailwind for bullion. However, the accumulation of short-term long profits raises the probability of a technical retracement.

      Buy XAUUSD
      EXP
      Trading

      4190.36

      ENTRY

      4290.00

      TGT

      4150.00

      SL

      4205.82 +3.74 +0.09%

      0

      Point

      Flat

      4150.00

      SL

      CLOSING

      4190.36

      ENTRY

      4290.00

      TGT

      Fundamentals

      The market's focus is now squarely on next week's FOMC meeting and the incoming data slate. With a string of softening macro prints, the implied probability of a Fed cut has been repriced higher, dragging both the DXY and real 10-yr UST yields lower and thereby providing a structural tail-wind for gold. However, investors remain cautious amid the tug-of-war between rate-cut expectations and safe-haven demand, frequently taking profit after short-term gains and leaving gold prices whipsawing within a tight range.
      ETF inflows and the continued bid from official-sector buyers (notably EM central banks) still form the medium-term demand floor, but fast-money positioning is hyper-sensitive to scheduled macro catalysts (NFP, PCE) as well as headline-driven geopol risk. Any print or headline that deviates from consensus can trigger an outsized volatility spike.
      Moreover, global-rate complex and sovereign-bond flow dynamics are exerting cross-asset gravitational pull on precious-metal valuations. In the Asian session, a tail-less, exceptionally high bid-to-cover ratio at the 10-yr JGB reopening compressed the benchmark yield by around 4 bp. This regional duration richening, convolved with a softening DXY, is re-pricing the cross-currency carry of gold and amplifying physical uptake in yen terms. With the Fed in blackout, the market is warehousing delta risk into tomorrow's claims and core PCE releases, opting for a "tactical sideline" posture that is powering rapid risk-off/risk-on whipsaws between safe-haven bullion and cyclical beta.
      At the macro level, the dominant fundamental narrative today is that dovish policy repricing supplies cyclical tailwinds, yet event-driven headline risk and systematic profit-taking are jointly imposing an asymmetric ceiling that frustrates the emergence of a sustained directional extension.

      Technical AnalysisBullish Momentum Intact, Profit-Taking Risk Eyed_1

      From the daily chart, price action has completed a textbook symmetrical-triangle breakout. The clearance of the 4245 structural high validates the pattern and projects the next measured-move objective to 4300.
      Immediate short-term resistance is now the 4200–4241 band. A high-conviction, volume-confirmed breakout followed by a daily close above 4241 activates the 4300 extension. Support is watched at 4175–4160. Violation on a closing basis would open a mean-reversion probe toward the 4130–4100 liquidity pocket.
      Technically, the simple-moving-average architecture remains in perfect bullish order, underpinning trend persistence. RSI is holding in the upper-neutral band, evidencing positive momentum divergence without extreme overbought conditions.
      A thin-volume, news-driven spike into the 4241–4300 corridor would flag a bull-trap and elevate the probability of an intraday bullish-to-bearish reversal (technical give-back).

      Trade Recommendations

      Trade Direction: Buy
      Entry Price: 4190.00
      Target Price: 4290.00
      Stop Loss: 4150.00
      Valid Until: December 18, 2025, 23:00:00
      Support: 4175.05/4163.82
      Resistance Levels: 4264.66/4300.00
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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      Alan

      Analysts

      A senior trader with rich trading experience, proficient in naked K trading, and has accumulated rich practical experience in the fields of stock market, foreign exchange and commodities. With deep market insight and excellent trading skills, he can seize opportunities in complex market environment and provide investors with accurate and effective trading strategies. With his superb analytical ability and rich market experience, he is committed to pursuing excellent performance in the global financial market.

      Rank

      7

      Articless

      391

      Win Rate

      49.78%

      P/L Ratio

      1.22

      Focus on

      XAUUSD, WTI, EURUSD

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