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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks

Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.

HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation

Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.

HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry

The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.

HK Real Estate Industry

In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.

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      Resistance Rejection Points to Extended Bearish Momentum

      Central BankEconomic
      Summary:

      Price action has carved out a triangular formation, with the pair recently rejecting the upper boundary of this pattern.

      Sell USDCHF
      End Time
      CLOSED

      0.80407

      ENTRY

      0.79800

      TGT

      0.81000

      SL

      0.79750 -0.00789 -0.98%

      397

      Points

      Profit

      0.79800

      TGT

      0.80010

      CLOSING

      0.80407

      ENTRY

      0.81000

      SL

      In Switzerland, investors are awaiting the release of August’s Consumer Price Index (CPI), scheduled for Thursday. The report is expected to show a steady 0.2% year-on-year increase in inflation, while on a monthly basis, price growth is projected to have remained unchanged once again. With inflation still subdued, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may consider the possibility of pushing interest rates further into negative territory at this month’s policy meeting in an effort to stimulate price growth.
      At the same time, the Swiss franc continues to draw support from its safe-haven appeal, underpinned by ongoing trade tensions and political uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s independence. These factors have helped sustain demand for the franc, even as domestic inflation pressures remain muted.
      Across the Atlantic, fresh data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that job openings stood at 7.18 million on the last business day of July, according to the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). This was down from June’s revised figure of 7.35 million (previously 7.43 million) and below market expectations of 7.4 million. Importantly, it marked the lowest level of job openings since September 2024, highlighting signs of a gradual cooling in the labor market.
      Further concerns over the U.S. economy came from the Census Bureau’s report on Factory Orders, which declined 1.3% month-over-month in July. Although slightly better than the anticipated 1.4% drop, the data underscored ongoing weakness in the manufacturing sector.
      Meanwhile, political and monetary discussions remain in focus. Stephen Miran, nominated by President Donald Trump to the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors, vowed that if confirmed, he would safeguard the Fed’s political independence. However, during his testimony, he drew attention for mischaracterizing the Fed’s mandate, claiming its primary role was to prevent depressions and inflation, rather than adhering to its dual mandate of ensuring price stability and supporting employment.
      Elsewhere, Fed officials delivered mixed signals. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic adopted a slightly hawkish tone, emphasizing price stability while acknowledging that labor market conditions are cooling. Bostic added that he only anticipates a single 25-basis-point rate cut this year. St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem also maintained a hawkish stance, insisting that the restrictive policy stance remains appropriate. In contrast, Fed Governor Christopher Waller reiterated his push for rate cuts at the September meeting, highlighting the ongoing divergence within the Fed.Resistance Rejection Points to Extended Bearish Momentum_1

      Technical Analysis

      USDCHF remains entrenched in a bearish trend on the 4-hour chart, a move that began on August 1st when the pair topped out at 0.8171. Since then, the market has failed to establish higher highs, reinforcing the downward bias. Price action has carved out a triangular formation, with the pair recently rejecting the upper boundary of this pattern. Adding to the downside pressure, USDCHF is trading just below the 100- and 200-period moving averages, positioned at 0.8046 and 0.8042, both of which have acted as resistance. If this setup holds, a move toward the lower end of the triangle near 0.7980 could unfold.
      The RSI currently stands at 59, slightly above neutral but comfortably below overbought levels. Notably, the indicator is showing a mild bearish divergence compared to previous price peaks at similar levels, suggesting that momentum may be weakening. Should the pair fail to break decisively above the triangular resistance, a corrective move lower from the current region appears increasingly likely.
      Trading Recommendations
      Trading direction: Sell
      Entry price: 0.8041
      Target price: 0.7980
      Stop loss: 0.8100
      Validity: Sep 12, 2025 15:00:00
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      Rank

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      Articless

      437

      Win Rate

      58.04%

      P/L Ratio

      1.26

      Focus on

      AUDUSD, EURUSD, BTC-USDT

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