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75,000 Marks the Bulls' Survival Line
Summary:
Bitcoin has experienced a sustained decline recently, influenced by market news. It has now reached a critical support level at 75,000 and closed positively, indicating a potential short-term rebound.
Trading
78897.15
ENTRY
88000.00
TGT
74000.00
SL
-- -- --
0
Point
Flat
74000.00
SL
CLOSING
78897.15
ENTRY
88000.00
TGT
Fundamentals
President Trump's nomination of a new Federal Reserve Chair prompted a market repricing of the Fed's future monetary stance. Concerns about a "more hawkish monetary policy leading to liquidity contraction" drove the dollar higher and compressed risk asset allocations, directly triggering large-scale liquidations in the short term. Media and exchange data indicate billions of dollars in forced liquidations and clearing events occurred during this period of intense volatility, with the rapid shift in funding from long to short positions exacerbating the downward price pressure.
Concurrently, institutional fund flows are also evolving. Although spot ETFs have long served as a stable buying channel for Bitcoin, recent weeks have seen net outflows or volatility (characterized by persistent net outflows alongside short-term daily inflows). This makes the price more susceptible to sharp declines on negative news. However, reports suggest large holders ("whales") are accumulating positions in batches during pullbacks, implying that the foundational demand for Bitcoin remains intact in the medium to long term. This suggests that opportunities to buy the dip may exist following short-term forced selling.
Technical Analysis
In the 1D timeframe, Bitcoin experienced a rapid decline recently due to market shocks triggered by news events. The price briefly dipped below US$75,000, but the closing price remained firmly above this level, indicating strong support. Furthermore, yesterday's long-lower-shadowed positive candlestick formation at this price point has bolstered short-term bullish momentum, suggesting a potential rebound and recovery in the near term.
Currently, the key support level for Bitcoin is US$75,000. A breach of this level could lead to a deeper decline towards the US$70,000 mark. The overhead resistance levels to monitor are US$80,000-US$85,000. A decisive breakout and sustained hold above US$85,000 would open up the upward trajectory towards US$98,000.
Trading Recommendations
Trading Direction: Buy
Entry Price: 78500
Target Price: 88000
Stop Loss: 74000
Valid Until: February 17, 2026 23:00:00
Support: 75000, 70000
Resistance: 80000, 85000
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A senior trader with rich trading experience, proficient in naked K trading, and has accumulated rich practical experience in the fields of stock market, foreign exchange and commodities. With deep market insight and excellent trading skills, he can seize opportunities in complex market environment and provide investors with accurate and effective trading strategies. With his superb analytical ability and rich market experience, he is committed to pursuing excellent performance in the global financial market.
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