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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks

Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.

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Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.

HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry

The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.

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In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.

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      A Double Bottom Will Be Formed in the 1D Timeframe, with a Potential Short-term Rebound

      Cryptocurrency
      Summary:

      Recent declines in Bitcoin are primarily influenced by expectations surrounding U.S. dollar monetary policy and ongoing institutional capital outflows, with the price currently approaching the 80,000 support level. A short-term rebound trend may be imminent.

      Buy BTCUSD
      End Time
      CLOSED

      82629.15

      ENTRY

      89000.00

      TGT

      79000.00

      SL

      -- -- --

      362915

      Points

      Loss

      79000.00

      SL

      78999.00

      CLOSING

      82629.15

      ENTRY

      89000.00

      TGT

      Fundamentals

      Bitcoin continued its intraday decline today, with prices slipping from 85,000 to around 83,000, exhibiting oscillations. Short-term market volatility was primarily driven by a dual impact: expectations surrounding U.S. Federal Reserve chairman appointment and fluctuating institutional capital flows. Discussions about the Fed chair candidate and intermittent outflows from ETFs collectively suppressed risk asset demand, exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin and testing key support levels.
      On the macro and institutional fundamental front, this week's asset rebalancing was influenced by macroeconomic and regulatory developments. Foremost, speculations about the Fed's future leadership and its inclination towards hawkish or dovish policies impacted liquidity expectations—if the incoming chair adopts a tighter stance, liquidity tightening could dampen demand for high-risk assets, exerting downward pressure on Bitcoin. Reuters reports indicated that guesses about the next Fed chair directly triggered today's sell-off. Additionally, the established spot Bitcoin ETF channels since 2025 continue to influence market dynamics, but fund flows have been non-linear: recent phases saw net outflows amid volatile institutional allocations, making prices more susceptible to significant retracements in response to news fluctuations. Analysis shows that ETF and institutional liquidity remain the decisive external variables influencing current price volatility.
      Furthermore, on-chain dynamics and exchange order book supply and demand are influencing short-term market structures: reports indicate net outflows from certain centralized exchanges, suggesting institutional or large holder retreatment without rapid bottom-fishing; however, long-term investors and some institutional players exhibit willingness to accumulate on retracements, indicating that the fundamental demand base remains partially resilient. Overall, the current market sentiment resembles a pendulum swing between liquidity-driven trading and reallocation mood, lacking a clear overarching catalyst for directional movement.

      Technical Analysis

      A Double Bottom Will Be Formed in the 1D Timeframe, with a Potential Short-term Rebound_1
      In the 1D timeframe, Bitcoin experienced a dip below the 80,000 level today, followed by a rapid rebound, indicating strong support at this zone. This level is near the lows established in November 2025, and the candlestick pattern suggests the potential formation of a double bottom. If the closing price exceeds 80,000 today, the double bottom pattern will be confirmed, signaling a short-term technical correction and potential rebound.
      Currently, key support is identified at the 80,000 level; a breach below this could open further downside potential toward 75,000. Resistance in the short term is formed by the recent high points of the moving averages, approximately in the 88,000 to 92,000 range. Stabilization above this zone would be necessary to re-establish the medium-term bullish trajectory.
      Regarding technical indicators, the RSI shows that the market has entered oversold territory, increasing the likelihood of a short-term rebound.

      Trading Recommendations

      Trading Direction: Buy
      Entry Price: 82000
      Target Price: 89000
      Stop Loss: 79000
      Valid Until: February 13, 2026 23:00:00
      Support: 80000, 75000
      Resistance: 88000, 92000
      Risk Warnings and Investment Disclaimers
      You understand and acknowledge that there is a high degree of risk involved in trading with strategies. Following any strategies or investment methodologies is the potential for loss. The content on the site is being provided by our contributors and analysts for information purposes only. You alone are solely responsible for determining whether any trading assets, or securities, or strategy, or any other product is suitable for you based on your investment objectives and financial situation.

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      Alan

      Analysts

      A senior trader with rich trading experience, proficient in naked K trading, and has accumulated rich practical experience in the fields of stock market, foreign exchange and commodities. With deep market insight and excellent trading skills, he can seize opportunities in complex market environment and provide investors with accurate and effective trading strategies. With his superb analytical ability and rich market experience, he is committed to pursuing excellent performance in the global financial market.

      Rank

      5

      Articless

      463

      Win Rate

      51.56%

      P/L Ratio

      1.16

      Focus on

      WTI, USDJPY, XAUUSD

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