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Bitcoin claws back above $110k as DXY stays sub-99
Summary:
BTC/USD rebounded into the $110k zone while the US Dollar Index hovered around 98.5 and equity volatility eased toward ~20.5. Flows show a split picture large weekly outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs alongside stabilization in spot price...
PENDING
110400.0
ENTRY
114800.0
TGT
108900.0
SL
110865.5 -288.4 -0.26%
--
Point
PENDING
108900.0
SL
CLOSING
110400.0
ENTRY
114800.0
TGT
Overview
Spot Bitcoin is trading around $110k after a shallow recovery from last week’s drop tied to tariff-driven risk aversion, with the rebound occurring as DXY holds in the 98.3–98.7 band and no fresh macro shock is hitting liquidity this morning.
The macro backdrop is mixed but tactically supportive for crypto: the dollar has failed to reclaim 99 on a closing basis, VIX has cooled back to the low-20s, and the Fed narrative has shifted toward balance-sheet caution with officials openly discussing an imminent end to QT at the Oct 28–29 FOMC.
That combination tends to relieve some cross-asset pressure even as ETF flows remain choppy. Price references around $110,700 printed on Monday align with today’s Asia-hour stabilization.
Market sentiment
Positioning is tentatively risk-on in spot, but fund flows are still detoxing. US spot Bitcoin ETFs booked roughly $1.2–$1.5 billion in net outflows last week the second-largest of the year signaling that systematic and discretionary players were de-risking into the slide.
Yet the absence of follow-through dollar strength and a calmer VIX argue against a deeper capitulation, which helps intraday dip-buyers lean on dynamic supports rather than chase strength. In short, flows say “not out of the woods,” but cross-asset conditions reduce left-tail risks as long as DXY stays sub-99 and Fed communication remains balance-sheet-friendly.
Technical analysis
The M15 structure favors buying pullbacks into the Bollinger mid-line and the top of the cloud. Price has migrated from the lower band back toward the mid-band, and subsequent tests of the upper band near the mid-$110ks would confirm momentum repair.
Ichimoku shows price oscillating above or on the Kumo with Tenkan attempting to cross and hold above Kijun; repeated holds of the cloud top are typical in early trend resumptions.
Stoch (5/3/3) has been turning up from mid-range; a clean %K > %D re-cross from 40–50 on a shallow dip is the trigger that often precedes an upper-band extension.
Immediate support is the Bollinger mid-line and Kumo confluence in the low-$110ks; resistance is layered first at the round $112k–$113k area and then $114.5k–$115.5k where prior intraday highs clustered. These levels are consistent with Monday’s prints around $110.7k and the current DXY backdrop.
Trading Recomendation
Entry: 110,400
TP: 114,800
SL: 108,900
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