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Risk Warning on Trading HK Stocks
Despite Hong Kong's robust legal and regulatory framework, its stock market still faces unique risks and challenges, such as currency fluctuations due to the Hong Kong dollar's peg to the US dollar and the impact of mainland China's policy changes and economic conditions on Hong Kong stocks.
HK Stock Trading Fees and Taxation
Trading costs in the Hong Kong stock market include transaction fees, stamp duty, settlement charges, and currency conversion fees for foreign investors. Additionally, taxes may apply based on local regulations.
HK Non-Essential Consumer Goods Industry
The Hong Kong stock market encompasses non-essential consumption sectors like automotive, education, tourism, catering, and apparel. Of the 643 listed companies, 35% are mainland Chinese, making up 65% of the total market capitalization. Thus, it's heavily influenced by the Chinese economy.
HK Real Estate Industry
In recent years, the real estate and construction sector's share in the Hong Kong stock index has notably decreased. Nevertheless, as of 2022, it retains around 10% market share, covering real estate development, construction engineering, investment, and property management.
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Japan Maintains Expectations of Interest Rate Hikes! When Will the USDJPY Stabilize?
Summary:
Data released by the Japan Statistics Bureau on Friday indicate that Tokyo's overall Consumer Price Index increased by 2.6% year-on-year in August, down from 2.9%. The inflation report for Tokyo sustains market expectations of the Bank of Japan resuming interest rate hikes, thereby supporting the Japanese yen.
CLOSED
147.400
ENTRY
146.200
TGT
148.600
SL
148.455 +0.358 +0.24%
1200
Points
Loss
146.200
TGT
148.601
CLOSING
147.400
ENTRY
148.600
SL
Fundamentals
The data released by Japan's Statistics Bureau on Friday indicates that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in the Tokyo metropolitan area increased by 2.6% year-over-year in August, down from 2.9%. Concurrently, the core CPI in Tokyo rose by 2.5% year-over-year, also below the previous 2.9%, aligning with market expectations. As of August 29, 2025, Tokyo's core CPI declined to 2.5% year-over-year, consistent with market forecasts. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) monitors Tokyo's CPI excluding fresh food and energy, which rose by 3.0% in August, slightly below the previous 3.1%. The inflation report in Tokyo sustains market expectations of a potential resumption of interest rate hikes by the BoJ, supporting the Japanese yen. According to a Reuters survey of economists conducted in August, nearly two-thirds anticipate the BoJ will implement at least a 25 basis point rate increase later this year, with this expectation having increased over the past two weeks.
The Q2 preliminary estimate of the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) indicates an annualized growth rate of 3.3%, surpassing the prior estimate of 3.0%, highlighting a robust rebound from the sluggish Q1. Initial unemployment insurance claims last week declined to 229,000, suggesting that despite softening employment growth, the labor market remains resilient; continued claims slightly decreased to 1.95 million. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, released concurrently with GDP, was marginally revised downward to 2.0% for the Q2, while the core PCE remained steady at 2.5%, underscoring persistent underlying inflationary pressures. The strong economic indicators have contributed to a rebound in the U.S. dollar.
Technical Analysis
In the 1H timeframe, the USDJPY price oscillates around the Bollinger Bands' upper and lower bands, currently consolidating near the middle band. Following a golden cross in the MACD, the MACD line and signal line have reverted to around the zero-axis, with the RSI at 54, indicating a neutral market sentiment and potential for a trend reversal. A decisive break above the middle Bollinger Band could propel the price toward the EMA200 and previous resistance levels at approximately 147.46 and 148.18; failure to do so may lead to a decline toward 145.8. In the 1W timeframe, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, with price oscillating around the middle band. After a MACD golden cross, the MACD line and signal line have pulled back toward the zero-axis, and the RSI stands at 49, reflecting a predominantly sideways trend with imminent potential for a trend shift. The key focus is on whether the price can hold above the middle Bollinger Band; a successful hold could lead to an upward breakout beyond 150, while failure might see a decline toward 146. In the short term, the strategy is to go short initially and then go long.
Trading Recommendations
Trading Direction: Sell
Entry Price: 147.4
Target Price: 146.2
Stop Loss: 148.6
Support: 145.8, 142.6, 141.6
Resistance: 148.5, 149.6, 151
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20 years of trading experience, specializing in naked price action analysis, Elliott Wave Theory, and Chan Theory. Has conducted in-depth research on forex, stocks, and cryptocurrencies. Achieved a tenfold profit during the 2005 bull market and doubled profits within one month of entering the crypto market in 2015. Adheres to the trading philosophy: "Trend is king; focus on the big picture, act on
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